Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.004161 0.004674 0.005253 0.005960 0.006808 0.007801 0.009067
2025-12-28 0.003558 0.004242 0.005082 0.006212 0.007727 0.009743 0.012727
2026-01-04 0.003146 0.003898 0.004876 0.006285 0.008335 0.011344 0.016392
2026-01-11 0.002818 0.003591 0.004641 0.006233 0.008705 0.012646 0.020030
2026-01-18 0.002588 0.003376 0.004487 0.006246 0.009146 0.014135 0.024572
2026-01-25 0.002364 0.003140 0.004263 0.006109 0.009296 0.015149 0.028645
2026-02-01 0.002149 0.002893 0.003994 0.005852 0.009185 0.015634 0.031795
2026-02-08 0.001965 0.002676 0.003745 0.005592 0.009014 0.015949 0.034708
2026-02-15 0.001876 0.002591 0.003693 0.005655 0.009451 0.017655 0.042464
2026-02-22 0.001763 0.002461 0.003554 0.005546 0.009529 0.018579 0.048574
2026-03-01 0.001653 0.002329 0.003401 0.005391 0.009483 0.019197 0.054184
2026-03-08 0.001561 0.002217 0.003271 0.005265 0.009478 0.019922 0.060936
2026-03-15 0.001513 0.002177 0.003271 0.005403 0.010123 0.022767 0.081305
2026-03-22 0.001480 0.002162 0.003311 0.005629 0.011044 0.026935 0.118113
2026-03-29 0.001426 0.002107 0.003274 0.005693 0.011588 0.030255 0.160822
2026-04-05 0.001362 0.002029 0.003191 0.005648 0.011843 0.032737 0.207930
2026-04-12 0.001311 0.001971 0.003137 0.005660 0.012258 0.036137 0.286786
2026-04-19 0.001248 0.001888 0.003031 0.005540 0.012274 0.037930 0.360503
2026-04-26 0.001178 0.001788 0.002885 0.005316 0.011945 0.038022 0.408424
2026-05-03 0.001112 0.001694 0.002743 0.005089 0.011567 0.037744 0.451922
2026-05-10 0.001083 0.001663 0.002724 0.005144 0.012071 0.042251 0.712187
2026-05-17 0.001040 0.001605 0.002645 0.005048 0.012079 0.044190 0.954438
2026-05-24 0.000995 0.001541 0.002553 0.004912 0.011929 0.045177 1.211395